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When will we all have effect systems?

It seems effect types are things people want, but few languages have managed to reify them, make them something we can all use. (Like, in -- cough cough -- Java et. al.) Any thoughts on how/when it will get to be more mainstream? Good enough that you'd risk using in production (at least w/in a group that is a little on the cutting-edge)? What things should a decent effect system support? Not only null checks I hope. (I was wondering about, via 'pilud' list, is how to rigorously handle immutable/mutable conversion/interaction.) Or are we just stuck with monads and related transformer boilerplate (and confusion to people like me)?